In a move presaging tougher policies towards China, the Department of Defense’s National Defense Strategy announced that the “revisionist powers” China and Russia are the “central challenge to U.S. prosperity and security.” And on January 22, Donald Trump imposed steep tariffs on solar products and washing machines—a move seen as mostly targeting China. Will 2018 be a year of increased competition between China and the United States? Does the rise of China challenge U.S. prosperity and security? And does the Strategy represent a shift in views on China, or the crystallization of existing conventional wisdom in policy circles?

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